~ Governor Chris Christie on NJ101.5’s Ask the Governor, September 29, 2010
Monmouth University’s CD-6 poll has math errors!
By Art Gallagher
Turns out that Governor Christie was right about Patrick. Not just because Murray polled non-voters in his approval poll of the governor. Murray’s math is wrong in the CD-6 poll he released on Tuesday.
As much as I have enjoyed the kudos I have received since Murray said he revised his numbers based on upon my assumptions, I don’t fully deserve them. I challenged Murray’s assumptions about the demographics of the district. It never occurred to me to check his arithmetic.
Fortunately, it did occur to an MMM reader, Bill Wolstromer of Colts Neck.
Compare Murray’s math to Wolstromer’s email to Murray:
Doing the math, Murray’s original poll release should have announced a 9% margin between Frank Pallone and Anna Little. Not the 12% margin that was announced. That’s a 25% difference.
Murray has yet to respond to Wolstromer’s email, or to my phone call this morning seeking comment or clarification.
Murrary owes an explanation to the media and the people of New Jersey who have come to rely upon him as a credible pollster.