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Monmouth Poll: CD-12 Holt 51% – Sipprelle 46% Margin of Error 3.9%

The Monmouth University Polling Institute released a poll of NJ-12 this morning indicating that Congressman Rush Holt leads GOP candidate Scott Sipprelle in their race to represent the district by a margin of 51% -46%.

A copy of the poll release can be found here.

According to the poll, Holt leads Sipprelle by a wide margin in the western parts of the district; Mercer County and part of Hunterdon, 63% to 33%.  Sipprelle leads Holt in Monmouth County 58% – 33%.  In the central part of the district, parts of Middlesex and part of Franklin Township in Somerset, Holt’s lead is 4%, 50%-46%.

Posted: October 13th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Monmouth University Poll, Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , , | 5 Comments »

Sipprelle Earns Endorsement of Recreational Fishing Alliance (RFA)

Princeton, October 13, 2010 – Calling incumbent Congressman Rush Holt (NJ-12) a “disaster” on issues affecting saltwater fishermen, the Recreational Fishing Alliance (RFA) formally endorsed challenger Scott Sipprelle for Congress in the 12th District.

The RFA has a history of endorsing both Republicans and Democrats running for office.

“We are proud to Scott Sipprelle for Congress in New Jersey’s 12th District,” said RFA Executive Director Jim Donofrio. “Congressman Holt has been a disaster for anyone who fishes in saltwater and the small business owners who makes their living off of the sport fishing industry. Frankly, Congressman Holt has been MIA on all of our fishery and coastal issues. In clear conflict with the district he is supposed to represent, Congressman Holt continually sides with the radical environmentalists whose mission it is infringe upon our rights as fishermen and small business owners.”

“I am humbled by the support I’ve received from fisherman and sportsmen all across Central Jersey,” said Sipprelle, who called the RFA’s endorsement “critical” in Monmouth County. “As a Congressman, I pledge to recognize the importance of my constituents who fish and the small businesses they support. I look forward to working with respected organizations like the RFA to manage our nations’ fisheries with sound science, support reforming arbitrary fishing laws, and backing candidates for the Mid Atlantic Fishery Management Council that best represent the interests of our fishing community and their businesses.”

Posted: October 13th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Press Release, Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , , , | Comments Off on Sipprelle Earns Endorsement of Recreational Fishing Alliance (RFA)

CD-12 Closing Statements Before The APP Editorial Board

Posted: October 12th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , | Comments Off on CD-12 Closing Statements Before The APP Editorial Board

CD-12 Debate Preview

Scott Sipprelle and Rush Holt had a verbal slug fest with the Asbury Park Press Editorial Board (aka the Neptune Nudniks) yesterday.  Read the APP account here.

Sipprelle and Holt will face off in their first public debate in Thursday, October 14 from 11:45 – 12:45 at the Yvonne Theater, Rider University.  That debate is sponsored by the League of Women Voters and the Rebovich Institute of New Jersey Politics at Rider.  Ben Dworkin will moderate.

On Monday, the reformer and the rocket scientist face off at Young Israel of East Brunswick, 193 Dunham’s Corner Road, East Brunswick.  That debate is co-sponsored by the Middlesex Jewish Federation and the Monmouth Jewish Federation.  NJ 101.5’s Eric Scott will moderate.

Finally, on Friday October 29, Sipprelle will debate both Holt and NJN’s Michael Aron for the public TV stations “On The Record.”

Posted: October 12th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , , | 1 Comment »

Remember Chris Daggett?

He ran for Governor last year as an Independent.  MoreMonmouthMusings broke the story that the Democrats paid for robo calls for Daggett in the closing days of the 2009 campaign.  Shameless and desperate, the Dems kept making those calls even after it was all over the news that they were paying for them and after Daggett himself condemned them for doing so.

There are plenty of signs that the Democrats are equally shameless and desperate this year as the GOP is poised to take control of the New Jersey Congressional delegation with victories in the 3rd, 6th and 12th districts.

In the 3rd district, the press has finally confirmed what everybody knew.  The Democrats put a 3rd party “Tea Party” candidate on the ballot to syphon votes away from Republican Jon Runyan in order to help freshman Democratic Congressman John Adler retain his seat in a traditionally Republican district.

The biggest indicator that Scott Sipprelle is winning in the 12th district is that Rush Holt has agreed to debates.  Holt doesn’t even like to take live questions from his constituents.  Rush is probably taking comfort from the fact that liberal Ben Dworkin of Rider University is moderating.  Dworkin proclaimed his liberalness on his facebook page until very recently. He used to be the Assistant Director of Research for NJ Democratic Assembly Office.

Who would have thought that Anna Little would have been within single digits of Frank Pallone 4 weeks before election day?  Who besides me, Mike Laffey, Dwight Kehoe, Bob Gordon, Barbara Gonzalez and Brian Hegarty?  Russ Cote.  Maybe Mickey Gooch too.  He’s got 5-1 odds on Little.

Pallone hasn’t been in a competitive race in 22 years.  He cut his dirty trick budget after the primary, figuring he could cruise to victory and save is $4 million war chest for a U.S. Senate race.  Now he’s resorting to buying everyone pancakes and pleading for help because, in his own words, he “can’t possibly get across the finish line on November 2nd without your continued support.”

Posted: October 9th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Anna Little, Holt, John Adler, Jon Runyan, Pallone, Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , , , , , , | Comments Off on Remember Chris Daggett?

The Answer: Rush Holt. Who is the most liberal member of congress?

Posted: October 9th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Rush Holt | Tags: | Comments Off on The Answer: Rush Holt. Who is the most liberal member of congress?

“Crazed Sex Poodle” Gore Coming To Rumson For Rush Holt

By Art Gallagher

Former Vice President Al Gore is coming to Rumson next week to stump and raise some cash for CD-12 Congressman Rush Holt.500x_0630_gorebig

Gore, who was called a “Crazed Sex Poodle”and a “big lummox” by Portland Oregon massage therapists Molly Hagerty when she accused him of groping her and painfully squeezing her nipples over her clothes during a massage at the Hotel Lucia in 2006, and the congressman who calls himself a Rocket Scientist will be having cocktails with supporters at the opulent mansion of Wall Street tycoon Thomas Unterberg on Sunday October 17, according to an announcement on Holt’s website.

Holt’s campaign  has made an issue out of his opponent Scott Sipprelle’s Wall Street career.  According to The Daily Princetonian, Holt sent an email to supporters bashing Wall Street and claiming he doesn’t “take big checks from them.”

… Holt’s reelection campaign has emphasized Sipprelle’s career on Wall Street. “It’s not news that a Wall Street multimillionaire would give himself a bonus, but it means that he’ll have the resources to try to distort Rush’s record of getting things done for Central New Jersey,” Holt’s campaign manager Sarah Stewart said in an April 16 e-mail to supporters.

“[Holt is] not working for the lobbyists. He’s not fighting to protect big banks and Wall Street. And he doesn’t get big checks from them. He has a broad base of support from real people with shared values,” she said.

Hmmm, the crazed sex poodle and the rocket scientist are coming to a Wall Street tycoon’s mansion not to take checks?

MoreMonmouthMusings surveyed area massage therapists to check on the likelihood of Gore getting a massage should he seek one while he is in the area.

Nicole Lerario, LMT, of A Kneaded Vacation Therapeutic Massage in Red Bank is a member of the Northern Monmouth Chamber of Commerce and the American Massage Therapy Association .  Nicole said she does not massage clients after 8PM in order to avoid confrontations like Hagerty had.  Lerario, who is licensed to practice massage in New York said she would work on any politician, “so that I can talk to them about having massage therapy covered by health insurance and about the importance of licensing massage therapists.”  She said New Jersey does not license massage therapists, but should because, “massage parlors and untrained women advertising body rubs makes life difficult for legitimate therapists.”

Michelle, who advertises in the Asbury Park Press classifieds as “PETITE PLEASURE MASSAGE 24 hrs., In/Out GSP 105”could accommodate the former Vice President after 8PM but “probably wouldn’t,” she told MMM, “When dirty laundry comes out about well known people, it comes out on the other people involved too.  Some people might like that, but I prefer to be more discreet and do my little thing.”

Annie of Fair Haven Therapeutic Massage also advertises in the APP. GRAND OPENING ASIAN STAFF, River Road, is how the ad reads.  There was something of a language barrier between Annie and I.  She wanted to know if Al Gore was the Vice President of Monmouth County, and she wanted to know if I would be coming with him for massagee. I told her I would not be joining Gore and that he was the former Vice President of the United States.  “Ooohhh,” she said, “we would be honored.”   Gore would have to visit Annie’s office, which is just down the road from the Unterberg estate.

Rosie advertises in the massage section of backpage.com
as ROSIE LATIN MASSAGE.  She said “No, I am not interested in doing that,” when asked if she would massage Al Gore.

Lorraine advertises ~*~*~ Holistic Massage & Reiki ~*~*~ by Female ~open 7 days on backpage.com.  She told me she would be happy to massage Gore, but that he would have to come to Manalapan and stay fully draped.

From this small sample, I get the distinct feeling that Northern Jersey Shore massage industry is not going to be stimulated by Gore’s visit.pood

Poor Al.  He’ll have to settle for the Wall Street checks that Holt says he doesn’t accept.

Posted: October 7th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Rush Holt | Tags: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Real Clear Politics: CD-6 A Toss UP!? APP: Pallone Leads By Nearly 2-1

Murray’s Poll Means Different Things To Different People

Real Clear Politics looked at the Monmouth University poll released yesterday and moved the NJ-6 race between Frank Pallone and Anna Little from “Likely Dem” to “Toss Up” . 

Meanwhile, the APP ( All Phoney Palloney?) read Patrick Murray’s poll and wrote a headline claiming that Pallone is leading Little “by nearly 2-1.”   2-1?  Murray said Pallone has a 12% lead.   2-1 would be a 33% lead. 12% is not nearly 33%.

Even my own analysis on Murray’s poll has been bothering me:

Murray classifies a likely voter as someone who has voted in 2 of the last four general elections.  Of the 333,519 registered voters in CD-6, 60,053 voted in 2 of the four last general elections; 23,750 (40%) Democrats, 27,791 (46%) Independents and 8,512 (14%) Republicans, according to GOP records of voter activity.

CD-6 has 333,544 registered voters.  In the last five elections, an average of 157,000 people voted.  The average is 144,000 if you don’t count the 2008 presidential election (254,543 voters) and the 2007 state legislative election(96,950 voters).  Yet, only 60,053 people voted in 2 of the last four elections, the criteria Murray used to select “likely voters.”   Granted, Murray used a different list than I did to measure who voted in 2 of the last 4 elections.  If there is a wide disparity between the two, my analysis of his poll is as flawed as the APP headline.  I think I’ll ask him about his list.

Incidentally, Real Clear Politics also rates the CD-3 race between Jon Runyan and John Adler as a toss up.  RCP rates Scott Sipprelle’s race against Rush Holt as “Leans Dem.”  I find the CD-12 rating hard to believe.  I’m not on the ground in CD-12 as much as I like to be, but I wake up every morning to “I’m Scott Sipprelle and I approved this message.”

Posted: October 7th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Anna Little, Holt, John Adler, Jon Runyan, Pallone, Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Scott’s “Trail Mix” for October 5th

sipprelle-large-banner-paid-for

A Super Saturday!

This past weekend saw a proud spectacle of American democracy in action throughout the towns of CD-12. Americans of every race, creed, and age group walked door-to-door, handed out literature on sidewalks, made phone calls, and waved signs…all motivated by a sincere and patriotic desire to get America moving again. I am proud to be representing this extraordinary collection of volunteers, most of whom have never worked on a political campaign before. Thank you all, and a special thanks to our amazing group of municipal captains!

 

Mark Your Calendar for the Great Debates

Thursday October 14:

11:45am (doors open at 11:15am) at Yvonne Theatre of Rider University. This debate has been moved to a larger venue. Ben Dworkin will moderate.

 

Monday October 18:

7:30pm (doors open at 6:30pm) at Young Israel of East Brunswick, 193 Dunham’s Corner Road. Eric Scott of 101.5 will moderate.

 

We will have a limited number of passes to allocate to both events. Otherwise, these are first-come, first served, open to the public events with no tickets.  Please contact our Princeton headquarters if you would like to attend either event. 

 

No signs, literature, or campaigning inside either venue.

T-shirts, pins, or stickers, are fine.

 

Phone Banks

Team Sipprelle now has phone banking operations in three counties! This means you can meet our ten hour individual goal (or however much you can do) at a location convenient to you, seven days a week from now until Election Day:

 

South Brunswick Square Mall: 4095 Route 1 South

Monmouth Republican HQ: 16 West Main Street, Freehold

Sipprelle HQ: 220 Alexander Street, Princeton

 

Countdown

Please do not wake up on November 3, kicking yourself for not having delivered your best effort to ensure our electoral success. Be part of history! There are less than 30 days remaining.

 

I Reject Mr. Holt’s Politics of (add) Negative Attack

Some of you might have read the Trenton Times Op-Ed piece this week, a twisted attack ad filled with distorted fabrications. Below is a link to an article which tells the true story of what I stand for: a roadmap for restoring American prosperity and excellence.

 

Please read:

Scott Talks Jobs & The Economy

 

Thank you for your continued demonstration of passion and purpose in our campaign for America’s future

Posted: October 5th, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , | Comments Off on Scott’s “Trail Mix” for October 5th

Rush Holt Should Honor Scott Sipprelle

By Abram N Spangel
 
On September 27, the House of Representatives passed a bill introduced by Rush Holt to award a Congressional Gold Medal to Dr. Muhammad Yunus in recognition of his developing the concept of microcredit, or the extension of small loans to the poor. Due to the vision of Dr. Yunus, the World Bank estimates that microfinance institutions now serve 160 million people in developing countries. These loans have enabled impoverished people in developing countries to start businesses, achieve independence, hire employees, bring new products and technologies to remote markets, foster accountability and give borrowers the pride of running a business. For this, Dr. Yunus is deserving of praise.
 
Well, Rush Holt doesn’t have to go all the way to Bangladesh to find lenders willing to risk their capital to spur economic development. Despite the monstrously vindictive 2,000 page financial reform bill that Holt voted for but didn’t read, hundreds of Holt’s constituents do the same thing everyday. One of these constituents is responsible for extending loans to hundreds of local businesses through his interests in the Bank of Princeton. Loans extended by the Bank of Princeton have enabled entrepreneurs to open businesses and existing businesses to continue to meet payroll despite being under vicious assault by Holt.
 
If Rush Holt finds it fitting to honor a man whose vision has spurred lending in almost every place outside of New Jersey’s 12th Congressional district, then the application of logic requires Holt to honor one of his own constituents who is risking his own capital when making loans to spur economic development in central New Jersey.
 
The local resident that Holt should honor is Scott Sipprelle. If Holt declines to honor Sipprelle, then Holt will prove his hypocrisy.
 
Posted: October 1st, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Holt, Rush Holt, Scott Sipprelle | Tags: , | Comments Off on Rush Holt Should Honor Scott Sipprelle