Monmouth Poll: Trump Widens National Lead

_donald_trump_2_jt_150718_16x9_992-340x191 (1)Donald Trump will probably have nice things to say about the Monmouth University Poll again. Trump derided Patrick Murray’s poll last week that showed his support in Iowa slipping to Senator Ted Cruz. Previously, Trump has praised Monmouth polls that show him during well.

In a poll released today, Murray is 95% certain that Trump’s national support for the 2016 GOP Presidential nomination among Republican voters is between 36% and 46%.

Trump’s next closest competitor is Texas Senator Ted Cruz, with 9-19% support. (95% certainty).  Trump’s current support is up from 28% in the October Monmouth Poll that he said nice things about.

Murray surveyed 1006 randomly selected American adults.  358 of them self-identified as Republican or Republican leaning voters.

Posted: December 14th, 2015 | Author: | Filed under: 2016 Presidential Politics, Monmouth University Poll, Patrick Murray | Tags: , , , , | 2 Comments »

2 Comments on “Monmouth Poll: Trump Widens National Lead”

  1. Sandra Talarico said at 3:47 pm on December 14th, 2015:

    Did anyone see Jill Lepore’s article about polling in the New Yorker a few weeks ago?
    Essentially, polls are far less reliable than they used to be. The only people answering them are those with landlines (you can’t poll call a cell phone), which by definition is an older population.

    Also, where at one time pollsters would get response rates in the 60% area, the response rate is now in the single digits.
    So, I ask, who is actually responding to these polls?

    Mitt Romney thought he had the election sewn up (based on polls) until election night.

  2. Sandra Talarico said at 5:54 pm on December 14th, 2015:

    To Puppy Jack:
    I was referring to the Jill Lepore article in the New Yorker. That’s where the information is from. Fact-checked from here to kingdom come (the New Yorker, not me).