FOUL! New Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll Relies on Record Setting Democratic Turnout

By Matt Rooney, Cross-posted from Save Jersey

The mainstream media is gleefully parroting the results of a new Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll released yesterday afternoon showing Mitt Romney trailing Barack Obama in three key swing states (PA, OH and FL).

Trailing badly, Save Jerseyans.

But stop the presses! Unfortunately for Romney haters, this poll’s sample was absurdly unrealistic. In fact, an absolutely ideal, hugely historic Democrat turnout model could only exist in David Axelrod’s or Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s filthiest dreams. And we don’t need to go there, nor would we want to.

Don’t believe me? Think I’m grasping for straws? Okay, then don’t take my word for it. All you need to do is compare (1) the party id gap “assumed” in yesterday’s Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT with (2) published exit poll data from the past two presidential elections. I did; look what I found…



2004 –> D +3

2008 –> D +7

2012  Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.


2004 –> R +5

2008 –> D +8

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9


2004 –> R +4.

2008 –> D +3

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.


Do NOT believe the polls, Save Jerseyans! It’s a sick joke. I don’t know if it’s indicative of bias, stupidity, or a base desire to “create” big news and attract an audience. My suspicion is that they’re using 2008 or better-than 2008 turnout models to zap your enthusiasm.

Don’t let them get away with it.

This is a very close race. Very close.

Posted: September 27th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2012 Presidential Politics, Media | Tags: , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

3 Comments on “FOUL! New Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll Relies on Record Setting Democratic Turnout”

  1. Hey, Obummer Lied About Libya said at 1:53 pm on September 27th, 2012:

    What’s The Big Deal About A Poll?

    In Reality, These Media Based Polls Are Designed To Do One Thing And One Thing Only, Depress Republican Votes And Cause Them To Give Up, Thinking All Is Lost.

    Gee, I Thought The Dumbocrats Told Us It Was Only Republicans Trying To Do That?

    Liar, Liar, Pants On Fire. This Is A DEMOCRAT Party Attempt At Voter Suppression. That’s Because There Is NOTHING Democratic With The Democrat Party.



    REALLY? It’s Actually Worse. More People Identify Themselves As Republicans Than Democraps

  2. Litterring and... said at 3:11 pm on September 27th, 2012:

    This my response to this article.


  3. Bob English said at 8:57 pm on September 27th, 2012:

    I guess Fox News is in on the conspiracy also since their last national poll had the President up by 5%!!

    I think its a little far fetched to believe that almost all of the major polling firms are in a big conspiracy to supress Republican voter turn-out. Even Romeny is acting like he is a guy that is running behind so I dont think he believes in any crazy conspiracy.

    What it comes down to is that one polling firm (Rasmussen) is using a meathodology that is different than most of the other firms.)

    Since polling firms future business relies upon past accuracy, its a little far fetched to believe than any of them are intentionally skewing results. At any rate, I will stick with I have been saying which is that I think it will be very close election one way or another on election day. It will actually be interesting to see which polling firm proves to be the most accurate.