Quinnipiac: In New Jersey, Obama leads Romney by 7%, Mendendez leads Kyrillos by 10%

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney for President, 51%-44%, and Bob Mendendez leads Joe Kyrillos for U.S. Senate, 50%-40% among likely New Jersey voters, according to a Quinnipiac poll released this morning.

Quinnipiac says that this is their first likely voter survey and it can’t be compared to eariler polls of registered voters. The university surveyed 1471 likely voters between August 27 and September 2. They did not disclose the partisan breakdown of those responding to the survey which they say has a margin of errror of +/-2.6%.

The methodology of the Quinnipiac poll differs from that of the internal poll released yesterday by the Kyrillos campaign in that Quinnipiac randomly calls phone numbers, land lines and cells, and the respondants self identify as voters or likely voters by the way they answer the questions.   The Kyrillos pollster called a data base of known voters.  Kyrillos’s poll showed him trailing Menendez by 4% with 65 days to go before the election.

“Our poll shows we are within 4 points of Bob Menendez and gaining and the Quinnipiac University poll shows positive movement as well,” said Kyrillos Campaign Manager Chapin Fay.  “That’s because Joe Kyrillos has a plan to create jobs and opportunity for New Jersey families, while Bob Menendez is proposing more of the same- more debt, more spending and more job killing regulations.”

Menendez 2010 Communications Director Paul Brubaker still hasn’t called me back from yesterday when I asked him to comment on the Kyrillos poll.


Posted: September 6th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2012 Presidential Politics, 2012 U.S. Senate Race | Tags: , , , , , | 6 Comments »

6 Comments on “Quinnipiac: In New Jersey, Obama leads Romney by 7%, Mendendez leads Kyrillos by 10%”

  1. Bob English said at 8:49 am on September 6th, 2012:

    Is this the first poll that has Romney running stronger than Kyrillos?

  2. Push Poll said at 11:23 am on September 6th, 2012:

    “Andrew S. Tanebaum, the founder of the poll-analysis website Electoral-Vote.com, compared major pollsters’ performances in the 2010 midterm Senate elections and concluded that Quinnipiac was the most accurate, with a mean error of 2.0 per cent.”

  3. Just Saying said at 11:40 am on September 6th, 2012:

    Psst … The people conducting Joe Kryillos’ internal poll were paid by Joe Kryillos. Like any for-profit business, these folks advance a financial interest in keeping their client happy. They are also more likely to get hired to conduct a follow-up poll in the future if their first poll showed that their client’s candidacy was something other than a lost cause.

    Conversely, the Quinnipiac poll was funded by Quinnipiac University. The Quinnipiac poll doesn’t accept clients or any outside funding.

  4. brian said at 12:42 pm on September 6th, 2012:

    New polls also show Anna within 100pts

  5. Talking About Polls said at 2:01 pm on September 6th, 2012:

    It seems that the Thug In Chief sent his minions out to pressure a poll. We know this to be true because Obummer was schooled in “The Chicago Way.”


    Their Motto? Hold On To Power Anyway Possible

  6. New Jersey women want to know... said at 11:41 pm on September 6th, 2012:

    Joe Kyrillos – where do you stand on the issue of Alimony Reform? Women voters want to know.