The Kyrillos for U.S. Senate campaign released an internal poll this afternoon that shows the GOP challenger within 4 points of the incumbent, Democrat Robert Menendez, with 65 days left to go before election day. 45% of those survey said they would vote for Menendez, 41% would vote for Kyrillos and 14% are undecided.
Of the Menendez voters, 76% said they were definitely voting for the Hudson County incumbent while 24% said they probably would. 71% of Kyrillos voters were solid compared to 29% probable.
The poll, which was conducted by Magellan Strategies between August 30 and September 3rd, is a survey of 746 likely general election voters from New Jersey. The margin of error is +/- 3.5% with 95% confidence. The survey was weighted based upon past general election turnout demographics.
29% of the respondents were Republicans, 39% Democrats and 35% Independents. 27% of the respondents consider themselves conservative, 16% say they are liberal and 51% say they are moderate.
“Joe’s message of creating jobs for the middle class and working together with members of both sides of the aisle is resonating with the voters of New Jersey,” said Kyrillos Campaign Manager Chapin Fay. “It’s clear New Jerseyans want change and, if this surge continues, in two months they will have it when Joe Kyrillos is elected the next US Senator from New Jersey.”
“This marks another poll in which Menendez is yet again under 50%,” said Adam Geller of National Research, the Kyrillos campaign’s pollster.
Menendez 2012 communication director Paul Brubaker was not immediately available for comment. This post will be updated if he calls back.
If they follow their usual pattern, Quinnipiac will likely release a Kyrillos-Menendez poll from the survey they took August 27-September 2 within the next few days.