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FOUL! New Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll Relies on Record Setting Democratic Turnout

By Matt Rooney, Cross-posted from Save Jersey

The mainstream media is gleefully parroting the results of a new Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll released yesterday afternoon showing Mitt Romney trailing Barack Obama in three key swing states (PA, OH and FL).

Trailing badly, Save Jerseyans.

But stop the presses! Unfortunately for Romney haters, this poll’s sample was absurdly unrealistic. In fact, an absolutely ideal, hugely historic Democrat turnout model could only exist in David Axelrod’s or Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s filthiest dreams. And we don’t need to go there, nor would we want to.

Don’t believe me? Think I’m grasping for straws? Okay, then don’t take my word for it. All you need to do is compare (1) the party id gap “assumed” in yesterday’s Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT with (2) published exit poll data from the past two presidential elections. I did; look what I found…

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PENNSYLVANIA:

2004 –> D +3

2008 –> D +7

2012  Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.

OHIO:

2004 –> R +5

2008 –> D +8

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9

FLORIDA:

2004 –> R +4.

2008 –> D +3

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.

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Do NOT believe the polls, Save Jerseyans! It’s a sick joke. I don’t know if it’s indicative of bias, stupidity, or a base desire to “create” big news and attract an audience. My suspicion is that they’re using 2008 or better-than 2008 turnout models to zap your enthusiasm.

Don’t let them get away with it.

This is a very close race. Very close.

Posted: September 27th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2012 Presidential Politics, Media | Tags: , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Supremely Political: Did Roberts Pen BOTH Opinions?

 By Matt Roooney, cross posted from SaveJersey

The ObamaCare backstory gets worse all the time, Save Jerseyans.

We can never really know what happened in chambers. That said, emerging anonymous accounts seem to comport with what we can plainly observe about this repugnant capitulation to unconstitutional, unrestrained big government by Chief Justice John Roberts.

It was supremely political.

Be assured, I’m not leveling this charge simply because I don’t like the decision! The Chief Justice simply didn’t do a very good job of masking his purely tactical motivations.

If you read the conservative Kennedy-Alito-Thomas-Scalia dissent (click here – pdf), one of the first things you’ll notice is how the dissent frequently refers to the majority opinion as the “dissent.” Is the current batch of High Court clerks just sloppy? Or is something else going on here?

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted: July 6th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: U.S. Constitution, U.S. Supreme Court | Tags: , , , , , | Comments Off on Supremely Political: Did Roberts Pen BOTH Opinions?

We’re Still with You, Mr. Governor

By Matt Rooney, cross posted from SaveJersey

Governor Chris Christie took his tax fight to a standing-room-only town hall crowd in Brick Township (Ocean County) yesterday afternoon.

And at that Brick gathering, my dear Save Jerseyans, we caught a welcome glimpse of the no-nonsense style of politics that quickly transformed Chris Christie into a national figure; you’ll likely remember his viral warning to beachgoers in the run-up to Hurricane Irene:
 

Surely, the contrast between Christie and Corzine in Election ’09 couldn’t have been clearer. I was proud to have been one of his earliest and most vocal grassroots supporters. I still am.

But what is our state party’s winning contrast with the liberal legislature right now in this ongoing budget fight?

I’m with MMM‘s Art Gallagher on this one, Save Jerseyans. There is no meaningful contrast.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted: June 28th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2013 Gubernatorial Politics, Art Gallagher, Chris Christie, New Jersey State Budget, NJ Democrats, NJ GOP, NJ State Legislature | Tags: , , , , | Comments Off on We’re Still with You, Mr. Governor

The Nanny Is Still Trying to Tame The Bullies

Governor Chris Christie held a press conference  yesterday to announce a fix that he doesn’t expect to work to the state’s misguided anti-bullying bill of rights.  The anti-bullying law was overturned as an unfunded mandate in January.  The “fix” announced yesterday is designed to keep the law, and its new nanny state bureaucracy in place.

Christie acknowledged the law “probably needs some work,” but declined to be specific. “I would not be surprised if we were back here a year or two from now with some fixes that were done in the Legislature to respond to some of the experiences of local school district folks,” he said.

From his comments above, it is clear that Christie understands that a “one size fits all” mandate, funded or not, which creates a new level of bureaucracy that will never die, will not work. 

Our friend Matt Rooney at Save Jersey points out that the anti-bully law addresses a problem created by court decisions which have deprived teachers of in loco parentis powers that have resulted the loss of control of classrooms.

The courts stripped teachers of in loco parentis (in the place of a parent) powers, so the government responds by creating a nanny state bureaucracy.  That’s loco.

Rooney’s old fashion solution is to empower the teachers.

Call me old fashioned, but the answer to our “bullying” problem isn’t the passage of new burdensome, expensive, hard-to-follow legislation that places additional burdens on overburdened teachers. Rather, we need to EMPOWER teachers by letting them control their classrooms again without interference from administrators who are terrified of “my kid is never wrong” parents (and their attorneys). A superior solution to burdensome “anti-bullying” laws: return control of classroom discipline to teachers!

I agree, but would go further. We need to empower teachers not only to discipline their students, we need to empower our teachers to empower children to deal effectively with bullies as a critical part of their education.

Instead of spending money we don’t have on bureaucrats that won’t solve the problem, teach kids to stand up for themselves and to get help standing up for themselves.

There is only one way to disempower a bully.  Defeat him or her.  Teach kids to do that and you’ll have healthier, happier and stronger kids who grow into healthier, happier stronger adults.

Create a bureaucracy and you’ll get reports and statistics that will “prove” how bad the problem is so that more money will be spent on it so that the bureaucracy can survive.

Posted: March 8th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: Stupid laws | Tags: , , , , , , , | Comments Off on The Nanny Is Still Trying to Tame The Bullies

Who said this?

Which journalist/personality wrote this about Governor Chris Christie this week?

“..this governor is a force of nature who could probably make a dog sing if he put his mind to it.”

No googling before voting.

 

Answering correctly entitles you to read app.com for free for a week.

Posted: February 25th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: Chris Christie | Tags: , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Is Gay Marriage A Simple Issue?

In the New Jersey’s 11th legislative district, which comprises much of Monmouth County, 6 of the 7 candidates vying for 3 seats, one in the Senate and two in the Assembly, have come out in favor of same sex marriage.  Two of the candidates, Republicans Senator Jennifer Beck and Assemblywoman Mary Pat Angelini said they would break with their party and vote to override Governor Christie’s veto of a same sex marriage if given the opportunity.

Republican Assemblywoman Caroline Casagrande has corrected the widely held perception that she would vote against gay marriage by saying only that she hasn’t publicly taken a position on the issue.   She said her focus has been on fiscal issues and that she would need to study the civil union law before taking a stand on gay marriage.

Casagrande’s refusal to take a position on the politically expedient schedule of Garden State Equality has drawn criticism from her opponent Dan Jacobson and others.  Jacobson said the issue has already been hotly debated and the issue should be simple.

Casagrande says it’s not so simple, “I haven’t seen a bill,” said Casagrande,  “What about protections for religious institutions?  If the issue is so simple, why did Steve Sweeney vote no and then change his mind later?”

If the issue was really simple, Blue Jersey blogger Jay Lassiter, Save Jersey Blogger-in-Chief Matt Rooney and I would not have been able to spend over 40 minutes discussing it on the radio yesterday.

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The issue is not simple to me.  I believe that all people should have equal rights under the law.  I don’t believe that homosexuals are deviant or immoral.  I believe homosexuals are the way God made them.  I created an exercise to demonstrate that sexual orientation is not a choice almost three years ago.  Check it out only if you’re willing to be disturbed.

Yet, I understand those who are morally opposed to gay marriage.  I understand the argument that marriage is an institution that was defined milleniums ago, before any government that currently exists on our planet was conceived.  I understand the desire of those who live their lives dedicated to or in aspiration of those traditions not to have their marriages redefined by a legislative body with an approval rating below 30%.

I suspect those who think the issue is simple, pro or con, think their opposites are just wrong.  I suspect many who think the issue is simple, pro or con, have little respect for and even have distain for those who disagree with them.  I think that is wrong.

Listen to the show, it you care about the issue.  It is an interesting and civil conversation between three smart people with differing views who found enough common ground that Lassiter suggested the three of us run for the legislature together.

The first 18 minutes of the show is Matt and I talking politics and a three minute break to fix some technical difficulties.  Jay joins us at the 18:20 mark.  In the last ten minutes of the show there is some good natured political sparring.

I hope that you are entertained and informed by the show, which was sponsored by Repatriot Radio.

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Posted: September 21st, 2011 | Author: | Filed under: Marriage Equality | Tags: , , , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments »

Real Jersey Bloggers On The Radio

This week’s Real Jersey Guys On The Radio Show will be different.

My partner former Senator Dick LaRossa has called in sick.

My young friend, Save Jersey founder Matt Rooney, has stepped up from being a guest to being the co-host.

After taking a year off from politics to work in the judicial branch of New Jersey government, Matt is back in the private sector practicing law and political punditry.  I’m glad he’s back.

Blue Jersey blogger Jay Lassiter will be calling in at about 5:15.  This will be a first for the show, being  joined  by a liberal Democrat, but it will be Real Jersey Radio.

You will want to hear it.  You will want to call in. We’ll be taking your calls at 609-447-0236.

The show is broadcast from 5PM-6PM on WIFI AM 1460 and here on the Internet.

The show is sponsored by Repatriot Radio.

Posted: September 20th, 2011 | Author: | Filed under: LaRossa and Gallagher, NJ Media | Tags: , , , , | 3 Comments »