Quinnipiac says Christie got no bounce from keynote address….but they started polling before he delivered the speech!

A Quinnipiac poll released this morning indicates that Governor Christie’s approval numbers remain strong among New Jersey voters…53% approve of his performance compared to 42% that do not….and that Christie would have been reelected if Newark Mayor Cory Booker was his Democratic opponent and the gubernatorial election was held last week when the poll was taken.

That’s good news for Christie, the NJ GOP and New Jersey taxpayers. Yet, in their write up of the poll, Quinnipiac did their best to spin the poll as a negative for Christie and the lazy main stream media is so far following that lead.

While 58 percent of New Jersey voters watched Gov. Christopher Christie’ keynote speech at the Republican National Convention, only 22 percent of voters say it makes them think more favorably of the governor, whose 53 – 42 percent job approval rating is barely changed, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.


“If Gov. Christopher Christie’s speech marked the opening of a 2016 presidential campaign he might want to try again.  People who like the governor liked the speech; those who don’t didn’t.  The net result – zero,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Quinnipiac surveyed 1560 registered voters from August 27-September 2.  Christie delivered the keynote address at the Republican National Convention late in the evening on August 28.   The Bobcats pollsters didn’t start asking about Christie’s speech until the third day of the seven day poll.

While showing their own biases, the Bobcats purported to measure New Jersey voters’ prejudices regarding offices seekers’ gender, race, creed, sexual orientation and waste line.

The numbers say that New Jersey is accepting of most.  In the poll that has a margin of error of +/- 2.5%,  3% said they would be less inclined to vote for a female candidate while 10% would be more likely to vote for a female. 4% said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who was African-American and 1% would be less likely to do so. 11% would be less likely to vote for a homosexual and 1% would be more likely.

Atheists and Muslims did not fare as well.  39% would be less likely to vote for an atheist, 1% would be more likely.

15% said they would be less likely to vote for an obese candidate, 1% would be more likely to vote for the big boned.

Does this mean that we should adjust Governor Chirstie’s numbers?  Would his numbers be 14% higher if he was svelte?  No, it doesn’t mean that.  It means that this poll is seriously flawed.  It reveals more about the pollsters than it does about those being surveyed.

Posted: September 5th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2013 Gubernatorial Politics, Quinnipiac poll, Uncategorized | Tags: , , , | 4 Comments »

4 Comments on “Quinnipiac says Christie got no bounce from keynote address….but they started polling before he delivered the speech!”

  1. Just Like With The Flawed Presidential Polls said at 7:55 am on September 5th, 2012:

    I don’t trust any of them. They can ask what they want with an intent to skew any of them, any way they want. To quote Proud Republican from another post:

    “we tend to overlook what’s happening on the ground. You know all those people who are packing theaters for Obama 2016? Or the ones who are reading “Amateur” and making it number one on the NYT best seller list week after week? Or the ones who packed every Chick Fil A in the country on 8/2?

    Those people are the same ones who see through this socialist hack in the White House. They are also the same ones who the lib media is trying to ignore.”

    The same will happen here in N.J. as well.

  2. Gobshite said at 12:44 pm on September 5th, 2012:

    There is nothing “seriously flawed” with this poll, Art. It only confirms what many other respected polls have said. If there is any conclusion that can be drawn from this and other polls it is that the American electorate is fickle.

    Cases in point:

    Despite Chris Christie’s popularity, the voters of New Jersey recently elected an entire Legislature that was overwhelmingly Democratic and opposed to what Chris Christie wants to accomplish. Indeed, the Democrats picked up one seat in the NJ Senate in the last election held two years into Christie’s first term. Does that mean Christie won’t be re-elected next year? Of course not.

    Numerous polls have told us that very few Americans approve of the job that Congress is doing. The polls have been saying as much for decades now. That said, every two years the entire House and one-third of the Senate is elected. As you well know, virtually every incumbent seeking re-election to Congress gets re-elected.

    I could cite another half dozen examples that point to the dichotomy to which you have alluded. I won’t do that. I won’t waste your readers’ time. I think I’ve made my point. Do voters dislike obese candidates? Yes, they do. Do the voters of New Jersey like their own lard ass governor? You bet. Again, the voters are fickle even if the polls aren’t.

  3. MoreMonmouthMusings » Blog Archive » Internal Poll has Kyrillos within 4 points of Menendez said at 3:03 pm on September 5th, 2012:

    […] they follow their usual pattern, Quinnipiac will likely release a Kyrillos-Menendez poll from the survey they took August 27-September 2 within the next few days. Posted: September 5th, 2012 | Author: Art Gallagher | Filed under: 2012 […]

  4. Bob English said at 5:28 pm on September 5th, 2012:

    Agreed that another poll would be needed to see if the Gov gets more of a bounce out of his speech. Just my opinion but I think most people in NJ have their minds made up on whether they like the Gov or not so I’m not so sure that we should expect one speech to move the needle much either way.

    Not sure if data exists but it would be interesting to know if other keynoters in the past received any kind of poll boost in their home states.