MoreMonmouthMusings is monitoring the elections results from Anna Little Headquarters at the Shore Casino in Atlantic Highlands. There appears to be about 200 people here already.
We’ll be posting results, interviews and commentary as the night goes on. It looks to be big Republican night. Marco Rubio has been declared the winner in Florida. Rand Paul won in Kentucky. Christine O’Donnell lost in Deleware, according to the New York Times.
The turnout is said to be great throughout Monmouth and Middlesex Counties. What does that mean?
One senior Monmouth Democrat told me they were expected a blood bath in local races, but that Pallone and Holt would still win by a couple of points.
Gerry Scharfenberger told me the turnout is very strong in Middletown and that it appears to be 2-1 R.
The turnout in Highlands is high, both R’s and D’s are out. Pallone had a nasty piece arrive in the mail yesterday. Is that bringing the D’s out?
Middlesex County Republcian candidates are posting on facebook that the turnout is strong and steady. They seem to feel good about it.
Frank Pallone tweeted that SEIU health care workers are canvassing for him. I have visions of seniors being dragged from their nursing home beds for one last vote before they move on the heaven or Chicago.
Rebecca Williams, a “New” Democrat running for council in Plainfield, told me the turnout was “pretty good.” Darn! She told Poltickernj it was light this morning. It is not snowing in Plainfield.
I’m so nervous that I incorrectly made a credit card payment on the web for $4000 when I meant to pay $400. I called the company and thankfully didn’t have to push 1 to speak to an English speaking person in Bombay. Angela, the nice lady in Florida, where it is cloudy and raining, calmly listened to me while I solved the problem myself on the website. I told her that talking to her was better than Xanax. That made her day. Then I told her to vote for Marco and she rushed me off the phone, “we’re not allowed to talk about that.” I’ve never taken Xanax. Is it any good?
Toni Angelini told me, via facebook, to have a drink. I told her I was affraid of doing something (or writing something) stupid. I think I just did that anyway.
Massachusetts Senator and failed Presidential Candidate John Kerry recently went on a rant before a Boston Chamber of Commerce. Among the things he said was this little bon mot. “We’re in a period of know-nothingism in the country, where truth and science and facts don’t weigh in.”
The Senators little tantrum was brought on by his frustration at the shellacking his party is about to receive in Tuesdays election.
In response I say to Senator Kerry that the on the contrary people are finally looking at the truth.
The truth is that almost every massive Government program of the last 70 years has failed and in many cases made the situation worse.
The New Deal did not end the Great Depression. Johnson’s war on poverty failed and enacted policies that contributed to the break up of families and the degradation of society (don’t believe me this was pointed out by the great Democratic Senator Patrick Moynihan). Social Security and Medicare are headed for bankruptcy. We just recently saw government housing programs contribute to an economic collapse. The No Child Left Behind Act has not improved our schools. These and myriad other programs had grandiose ambitions and failed. Yet what is the response of Democrats. Keep piling on the Government programs. Increasing regulation and taxes are strangling businesses and killing our competitive edge. Yet when Kennedy and Reagan lowered taxes we prospered. Keynsian economic policies touted by Democrats consistently do not produce results while those of Milton Friedman and Charles Laffer which are touted by Republicans have historically produced stellar results.
What is happening today is the continuation of an argument as old as this great Republic. It is an argument about what is the proper role of the Federal Government.
The Ironic part is that leaders who the Democrats claim they descend from Jefferson and Jackson where stalwart defenders of a severly limited role for the federal Government. However even Federalists like Adams and Hamilton would be appalled were they to see our governments reach today.
No Senator you are wrong. People are looking at the facts and based on those facts they are repudiating your Party’s policies of bigger government and returning to our Founding Fathers vision of limited federal government.
According to a National Research poll just out of the field, Republican challenger Scott Sipprelle leads Democrat Congressman Rush Holt 43%-42% in New Jersey’s 12th congressional district as we head into the final weekend of the 2010 mid-term campaign. The remaining 14% are undecided.
Some additional data:
Sipprelle leads 46%-32% among self identified Independent/unaffiliated voters.
Among those who identify themselves as the most likely to turn out, Sipprelle leads 47%-41%.
Among voters who have heard of both candidates, Sipprelle leads 44%-42%.
Among voters who have formed an opinion of both candidates, Sipprelle leads 52%-40%.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has a very strong image in this district, with a 60% favorable rating and a 34% unfavorable.
Among the voters who are favorable to the Governor, Sipprelle leads Holt 66%-23%.
The generic ballot shows a five point GOP advantage, as the generic Republican leads the generic Democrat 45%-40%.
As undecided voters become late deciders this weekend and early next week, we expect the race to continue to be tight, with turnout becoming the final, crucial determining factor. But if current turnout holds and Republicans continue to exhibit an enthusiasm advantage in this district, we give the edge to Sipprelle.
National Research Inc. conducted a telephone survey in New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District on October 27, 2010. The survey was conducted among 300 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 5.66% in 95 out of 100 cases. Interviews were stratified geographically to conform with likely 2010 voter turnout in the district. By registration, 39% of the sample are Democrats, 27% are Republicans, and 34% are unaffiliated. 48% of the sample are male, 52% are female.National Research Inc. is a national political and corporate polling firm, whose client list includes Governor Chris Christie, members of Congress and State Legislatures, the NRCC, the Club for Growth and the RGA.
Need more evidence that the Asbury Park Press’s election coverage is irrelevant? Go to CNN’s My elections page enter your your zip code and see which site is most prominently featured in their news feed.