What The “Expert” Insiders Think

Capitol Insights is a joint project of NJBiz, Rider University’s Rebovich Institute of NJ Politics, and the Kaufman-Zita Group, a leading public affairs and communications firm.

CI conducts occasional surveys of Trenton insiders. This morning they released a survey which included questions on the ARC tunnel, the likelihood of Governor Christie running for President or Vice President in 2012, the likelihood of Governor Christie’s reform “tool kit” being passed before January 1, the outcomes of the congressional races in Districts 6 and 12, the Senate race is NJ’s 14th legislative district and the Bergen County Executive race. The survey results can be viewed here.

The vast majority(83%) of the bi-partisan expert panel do not expect Governor Christie to be on the 2012. 55% expect Jon Runyon to defeat John Adler in CD-3, and 81% expect Rush Holt to successfully fight off Scott Sipprelle’s challenge in CD-12.

This is the first election that the CI insiders have predicted. We’ll know next week how “expert” they really are.