Road to the White House, 2016: Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio
By Alan J. Steinberg
I have had a rather poor prediction record in this year’s presidential primaries, as I vastly underrated Donald Trump’s appeal. I remain intrepid, however, so the following is my initial Electoral College 2016 projection.
In order to be elected president, a candidate must win states giving him or her a total of at least 270 electoral votes. I believe that Donald Trump will carry all the states won by Mitt Romney in 2012, giving him a base of 206 electoral votes.
I classify seven of the states won by Barack Obama in 2012 as swing states in 2016. These states are the three double digit electoral vote states of Florida (29 electoral votes), Ohio (18), and Pennsylvania (20), and the four single digit electoral vote states of New Hampshire (4), Iowa (6), Colorado (9), and Nevada (6), for a total of 92 electoral votes. Hillary Clinton is likely to carry all the other states won by Obama in 2012, giving her a base of 240 electoral votes.
Posted: May 19th, 2016 | Author: admin | Filed under: 2016 Elections, 2016 Presidential Politics, Alan Steinberg, Opinion | Tags: 2016 Presidential elections, Alan J Steinberg, Analysis, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Opinion, Road to the White House 2016 | 4 Comments »