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FOUL! New Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll Relies on Record Setting Democratic Turnout

By Matt Rooney, Cross-posted from Save Jersey

The mainstream media is gleefully parroting the results of a new Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll released yesterday afternoon showing Mitt Romney trailing Barack Obama in three key swing states (PA, OH and FL).

Trailing badly, Save Jerseyans.

But stop the presses! Unfortunately for Romney haters, this poll’s sample was absurdly unrealistic. In fact, an absolutely ideal, hugely historic Democrat turnout model could only exist in David Axelrod’s or Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s filthiest dreams. And we don’t need to go there, nor would we want to.

Don’t believe me? Think I’m grasping for straws? Okay, then don’t take my word for it. All you need to do is compare (1) the party id gap “assumed” in yesterday’s Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT with (2) published exit poll data from the past two presidential elections. I did; look what I found…

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PENNSYLVANIA:

2004 –> D +3

2008 –> D +7

2012  Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.

OHIO:

2004 –> R +5

2008 –> D +8

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9

FLORIDA:

2004 –> R +4.

2008 –> D +3

2012 Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll –> D +9.

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Do NOT believe the polls, Save Jerseyans! It’s a sick joke. I don’t know if it’s indicative of bias, stupidity, or a base desire to “create” big news and attract an audience. My suspicion is that they’re using 2008 or better-than 2008 turnout models to zap your enthusiasm.

Don’t let them get away with it.

This is a very close race. Very close.

Posted: September 27th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: 2012 Presidential Politics, Media | Tags: , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Christie’s Approval Ratings Repudiate Media’s Snow Job

By Art Gallagher

Governor Chris Christie’s vacation during the Blizzard of 2010 did not suppress voters’ approval of the job he is doing. 

In the first independent poll since the storm, the Fairleigh Dickinson Public Mind Poll says that 53% of voters approve of Christie’s performance while 36% disapprove.  FDU polled 802 registered voters by phone, land line and cell, between January 3 and January 9.

Christie’s favorable/unfavorable rating of 47%-39% is better than every elected governor’s in the last two decades.

Contrasting the FDU poll released this morning to the Quinnipiac Poll of December 21, 2010, one might conclude that the administration’s performance during the Blizzard of 2010 boosted Christie’s ratings.  The December Quinnipiac poll gave Christie a 46%-44% approval rating.  Quinnipiac polled 1276 voters between December 14 and 19.

Today’s poll should serve as a wake up call to much of New Jersey’s media elite who attempted to turn Christie’s family vacation during the Christmas holiday into a controversy.  The controversy existed only in their minds and editorial board conference rooms.  The voters and the media elites’ diminishing readership didn’t care.

In perhaps related news,Gannett announced they are laying off half of their remaining reporters at three of its Central Jersey newspapers.  Maybe business would be better if the newspapers/news sites listened and reported rather than tried to advance their agenda upon a readership that views them as irrelevant.

Today is 1/11/11.  Christie will delivery his first State of the State address this afternoon.  New Jersey will be hit with another snow storm this afternoon.

Posted: January 11th, 2011 | Author: | Filed under: Chris Christie, NJ Media | Tags: , , , | 2 Comments »